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Prediction Market prop trading is a funded account style program where traders use an account balance provided through the program to take positions on event-based prediction markets. Instead of trading FX, CFDs, futures, or equities, traders buy “Yes” or “No” positions tied to whether a specific event will occur. Account progress, rule breaches, profit target status, and payout eligibility are calculated from account equity.

A prediction market is a market tied to a future event or outcome. Each market asks a defined question, such as whether an event will happen by a certain date. Traders take positions based on whether they believe a specific outcome will occur. The market price moves as participants reassess the probability of that outcome.

An event is the top-level prediction question or occurrence. An event may contain one market or multiple related markets. A market is the specific tradable outcome within that event. For example, “Ecuador vs. Germany” may be one event, with separate markets for Germany, Draw, and Ecuador. Each market may have its own Buy Yes and Buy No prices, but for risk control purposes, all markets within the same event may be grouped together.

You may trade the prediction markets made available on the platform for this program. Pricing and event data are sourced through Polymarket. Available markets may change from time to time based on platform availability, event status, liquidity, compliance settings, operational settings, or other restrictions.

No. Only the markets enabled for this program are available for trading. Available markets may change over time. Unless otherwise configured, there are no general market-category restrictions or minimum volume requirements. The Company may add, remove, disable, or restrict any market at any time.

Markets are generally expected to resolve within 60 days; longer-dated markets may be restricted.

Buy Yes to back the stated outcome, or No to back its non-occurrence. Winning shares settle at $1 each; losing shares at $0. Before resolution, position value is shares multiplied by the current contract price. Prices are not guaranteed probabilities.

Prices may be displayed as cents on a scale up to 100, or in dollars per share. Divide the cents display by 100 to obtain the dollar price. Winning shares settle at $1 each; losing shares at $0. Before resolution, position value is shares multiplied by the current contract price. Prices are not guaranteed probabilities.

Shares equal the order’s dollar value divided by the per-share contract price. Winning shares settle at $1 each; losing shares at $0. Before resolution, position value is shares multiplied by the current contract price. Prices are not guaranteed probabilities.

Liquidity refers to the availability of buyers and sellers at current prices. Thin liquidity can result in wider spreads, partial fills, worse execution, or difficulty closing a position at the price shown on screen. Traders should understand that a displayed market price does not guarantee that the full order can be executed at that exact price.

Track account progress and current metrics in your trader dashboard in near real time.

Markets resolve according to the rules and resolution process applicable to the underlying market source. The Company does not create the underlying event outcome. Account calculations follow the available pricing, settlement, and resolution data used by the platform, subject to the Company’s terms, corrections, risk controls, and compliance requirements.

Prediction markets can involve event delays, disputed outcomes, halted markets, unavailable data, API interruptions, or other operational issues. If a market does not resolve normally or pricing becomes unavailable, the account may be adjusted, restricted, paused, or reviewed in accordance with the platform data, the applicable market outcome, and the Company’s terms and risk controls.

Yes. Prediction market prices can move sharply when new information becomes available, when liquidity changes, as the event approaches resolution, or when market participants rapidly reprice the probability of an outcome. A position that appears profitable can lose value quickly before it is closed or resolved.

No. Market prices can be read as approximate market-implied probabilities, but they are not guarantees. Prices also reflect liquidity, spreads, fees, market structure, trader behavior, and the risk of uncertainty around the final outcome.

Prices can move as traders react to news, rumors, polls, data, odds, public statements, or changing expectations. The final result may not be known yet, but the market can reprice as expectations change.

No. Traders may not use inside information, manipulate markets, attempt to exploit platform or API errors, or engage in activity that violates exchange, market, platform, regulatory, or program rules. Any such activity may result in trade cancellation, account breach, denial of Funded account issuance, forfeiture of gains, or termination from the program.

Maximum drawdown is a fixed original-size allowance (6%) below the equity high-water mark including open gains. The floor never stops trailing, including above original balance. Account equity, including open profit and loss, must stay above the floor. An approved withdrawal itself does not trigger a breach. The equity trail continues and does not lock at the original balance. Post-withdrawal adjustment mechanics are unpublished. At the starting balance, a $100,000 example has a $94,000 floor.

Equity is the current account value including open position value. Maximum drawdown is a fixed original-size allowance (6%) below the equity high-water mark including open gains. The floor never stops trailing, including above original balance. Account equity, including open profit and loss, must stay above the floor. An approved withdrawal itself does not trigger a breach. The equity trail continues and does not lock at the original balance. Post-withdrawal adjustment mechanics are unpublished. At the starting balance, a $100,000 example has a $94,000 floor.

90% profit share costs +15% of the plan price. Increases the funded-account trader profit share. Double Time costs +10% of the plan price. Doubles the evaluation deadline. The evaluation deadline changes from 30 to 60 days.

Add-ons can only be selected at the time of purchase.

No leverage, margin or short selling.

A Yes contract pays the winning-share amount if its stated outcome occurs. Winning shares settle at $1 each; losing shares at $0. Before resolution, position value is shares multiplied by the current contract price. Prices are not guaranteed probabilities.

A No contract pays the winning-share amount if its stated outcome does not occur. Winning shares settle at $1 each; losing shares at $0. Before resolution, position value is shares multiplied by the current contract price. Prices are not guaranteed probabilities.

No leverage, margin or short selling.

Shares equal the order’s dollar value divided by the per-share contract price. Winning shares settle at $1 each; losing shares at $0. Before resolution, position value is shares multiplied by the current contract price. Prices are not guaranteed probabilities.

Winning shares settle at $1 each; losing shares at $0. Before resolution, position value is shares multiplied by the current contract price. Prices are not guaranteed probabilities.

Yes, you may close a position before final resolution by selling or closing all or some of the shares at the current market price. Your realized gain or loss will depend on your entry price, exit price, size, fees, and execution quality.

Opening orders must be priced between $0.20 and $0.80 per share. Closing outside this range is allowed. There is no leverage, margin or short selling.

Opening commission is 1% of notional; no closing commission.

Yes. There is no configured maximum number of concurrent markets. However, all account-level rules still apply, including Daily Drawdown, Max Drawdown, Max Profit Per Event, market eligibility, and any platform or risk restrictions. Markets tied to the same event are aggregated for Max Profit Per Event purposes.

Yes. The Company may limit available markets, restrict order size, restrict trading during certain conditions, reject orders, disable markets, or make other risk and operational changes in response to liquidity, pricing, market status, compliance concerns, technology issues, or program risk.

Markets settle according to their stated resolution rules. Some outcomes may require confirmation from a specific source, and some markets may take additional time if the result is unclear or disputed.

The evaluation profit target is 10%. Meet the applicable risk and consistency requirements before progressing. Funded trading after completion has no profit target.

The daily loss limit is 3% of the previous end-of-day equity. The reference resets at 17:00 EST. Account equity, including open profit and loss, must stay above the resulting daily floor; reaching or crossing it is a hard breach.

Maximum drawdown is a fixed original-size allowance (6%) below the equity high-water mark including open gains. The floor never stops trailing, including above original balance. Account equity, including open profit and loss, must stay above the floor. An approved withdrawal itself does not trigger a breach. The equity trail continues and does not lock at the original balance. Post-withdrawal adjustment mechanics are unpublished. At the starting balance, a $100,000 example has a $94,000 floor.

Maximum potential profit per event is 0.5% of original size. Aggregate all related markets within an event. This limits potential profit, not notional cost or unrealized gains. A $100,000 example permits $500 potential profit per event.

The evaluation allows 30 days. Double Time extends this to 60 days for +10% of the plan price. 90% profit share costs +15% of the plan price. Increases the funded-account trader profit share. Double Time costs +10% of the plan price. Doubles the evaluation deadline. The evaluation deadline changes from 30 to 60 days.

The account must show trading activity within every 30-day period. Open positions count toward activity. Reaching the inactivity limit can breach the account.

A hard breach means the account has violated a terminating rule, such as Max Drawdown, inactivity, or another rule identified as a hard breach. In the Evaluation phase, a hard breach means the Evaluation is failed. In the Funded phase, a hard breach means the Funded account is closed and any gains may be forfeited unless otherwise stated in the applicable program terms.

There is no funded profit target. The published daily, drawdown and conduct rules continue in the funded phase. The daily loss limit is 3% of the previous end-of-day equity. The reference resets at 17:00 EST. Account equity, including open profit and loss, must stay above the resulting daily floor; reaching or crossing it is a hard breach. Maximum drawdown is a fixed original-size allowance (6%) below the equity high-water mark including open gains. The floor never stops trailing, including above original balance. Account equity, including open profit and loss, must stay above the floor.

An approved withdrawal itself does not trigger a breach. The equity trail continues and does not lock at the original balance. Post-withdrawal adjustment mechanics are unpublished. At the starting balance, a $100,000 example has a $94,000 floor. The trader share is 75% of eligible funded profits; the firm receives 25%. The optional 90% profit share upgrade costs +15% of the plan price. No separate consistency requirement. No separate minimum trading-day requirement is published. Maximum potential profit per event is 0.5% of original size. Aggregate all related markets within an event.

This limits potential profit, not notional cost or unrealized gains. A $100,000 example permits $500 potential profit per event. The account must show trading activity within every 30-day period. Open positions count toward activity. Reaching the inactivity limit can breach the account.

The trader share is 75% of eligible funded profits; the firm receives 25%. The optional 90% profit share upgrade costs +15% of the plan price.

Request the first payout after 7 days in the funded phase, then every 7 days. Requests remain subject to eligibility and approval.

Minimum payout is 2% of original account size. Request all eligible profits with no open positions. Trading pauses until the withdrawal is approved.

Request the first payout after 7 days in the funded phase, then every 7 days. Requests remain subject to eligibility and approval. The trader share is 75% of eligible funded profits; the firm receives 25%. The optional 90% profit share upgrade costs +15% of the plan price. Minimum payout is 2% of original account size. Request all eligible profits with no open positions. Trading pauses until the withdrawal is approved. An approved withdrawal itself does not trigger a breach. The equity trail continues and does not lock at the original balance. Post-withdrawal adjustment mechanics are unpublished.